Keir Starmer is in the face of connections to change the fiscal rules in Great Britain to avoid cuts of prosperity

Keir Starmer


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Sir Keir Starmer warned MPs of the Labor Party that the British fiscal principles would not be relaxed to avoid painful social care cuts, despite the growing pressure of the party, so that the United Kingdom follows the Germans in including loan taps.

The prime minister agreed with Chancellor Rachel Reeves That British fiscal principles must be observed, and all relaxation of the restrictions imposed by them would issue markets and force the cost of the loan.

“Markets are still testing us,” said one of the senior state officials. “We are in a situation where the decisions we make are subject to significant control.”

Germany’s decision to relax loan rules to finance the madness of expenses for defense and infrastructure projects increased the pressure at Reeves to look at its rules again, which require the current expenditure with tax accounts up to 2029-30.

Anneliese Dodds, who resigned last month as the Minister of Foreign Development about the cutting of the budget of help, she told Starmer in her letter to resign that “we expect that together we will discuss our fiscal principles and an approach to taxation, as other nations do.”

John McDonnell, former Chancellor Shadow, said the Financial Times that the rules “must be relaxed”. He said that Reeves restrictions required her to be cut off from a social care account than conservatives planned. Savings of up to 6 billion pounds were discussed a year.

The linear chart of 10-year gilding (%) showing that the costs of the loan in the UK increased from the budget

Other MPs with a mainstream, many of which have been invited to Downing Street in recent days to be informed about planned social care cuts, let’s say that the discussion about the fiscal rules in the party is common.

One said: “Cutting social welfare is difficult for MPs of the Labor Party, the most difficult thing we were asked to swallow. He talks about relaxation of fiscal principles, under bubbling and intends to break the surface. “

Another MP of the Labor Party said: “When the situation is changing, you can’t just stick to your previous plans, you need to look at such things as higher taxes or fiscal principles.”

In British policy, this is common for the premiere of the day on the side of MPs who want more expenses, which leads to tensions with the chancellor. However, in the matter of fiscal discipline, Starmer and Reeves seem to be even.

One of Starmer’s ally said that if Great Britain followed Germany in relaxation of their fiscal principles, the later increase in the cost of loans in Great Britain was imposed by markets.

One said: “Germany has a debt ratio of 62 percent, while ours is about 95 percent. There are obvious differences. “

Reeves said that her fiscal principles are “not negotiable” and ordered a reduction in the help budget to finance the increase in defense expenditure from 2.3 % GDP to 2.5 % in 2027.

Large parts of MPs participated in street presentations on social care cuts led by Claire Reynolds, head of the Starmer connector with the Parliamentary Labor Party.

One of the participants said that even usually loyal deputies were “really, really pissed”, adding that they believed that number 10 could “soften” in some means.

Another MP of the Labor Party said: “Number 10 is very worried. They produce us and the whips are in contact. There is a feeling that they can come back. They didn’t have the strength of feelings – but now yes. “

The upcoming German government proposed the EUR 500 billion fund for infrastructure and changes in loan rules to allow a wave of expenses using collecting. The announcement caused the largest one -day increase in the cost of the loan since 1997 last week, because investors prepared for an increase in debt emissions.

Joachim Nagel, head of Deutsche Bundesbank, said BBC on Thursday that it was a “extraordinary measure” through “extraordinary time”.

Economists say that Reeves’ plan for public finances has been blown out of the exchange rate by combining rising loan costs and slow growth, and some expect that it will reduce expenses or raise taxes by at least 10 billion pounds in their spring statement on March 26.

In October, she allowed herself 9.9 billion of head pounds in relation to her fiscal rule, but it was believed to be erased. Social welfare cuts and other expenditure reductions are planned to provide the Chancellor with a pillow against further bad news.

Nicolas Trindade, a senior portfolio manager at Axa’s Investment Management ARM, warned that Reeves “cannot manage the economy with only 10 billion pounds in the form of a head”, adding: “It just doesn’t work, and she will simply have the same problem.”

Investors have found that any transition to relaxation of the fiscal principles that have been changed in October will be poorly accepted by the market. Fears of higher loans in Great Britain in conjunction with global sale of bonds in order to obtain 10 years of loan costs in Great Britain to 16-year highest level 4.93 percent in January.

With slightly less than 4.7 percent on Thursday, they almost remain a percentage point above, where they were in mid -September, and at levels comparable to the market crisis achieved at the unfortunate “mini” budget at 2022.

“The treasure of the UK treasury is caught in binding,” said James Smith, an economist in Great Britain at ING. “Higher costs of debt interest mean painful cuts of expenses in the spring statement on March 26, now they seem inevitable. And further tax increases look more and more likely that later this year. “



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